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谷歌大佬神秘AI预测，视频被全网删除

人工智能能在几分钟内帮你打造出一款击败TikTok的竞争对手？谷歌前首席执行官埃里克·施密特（Eric Schmidt）表示，也许在未来几年内就能实现。几天前，埃里克·布林约尔松邀请谷歌前CEO施密特在埃里克的斯坦福经济学课上进行了深入讨论。其中有不少颇具争议的内容，大家可以在文末B站上进行观看。


纵观整个AI行业，他无意间分享的对AI的预测和见解值得关注，以下是突出的内容。


AI见解


人工智能的快速演变：埃里克·施密特强调了人工智能发展的迅速步伐，指出进步如此之快，以至于需要频繁更新预测。

·关键人工智能趋势:施密特确定了人工智能在不久的将来的三个主要趋势:。

1、大型上下文窗口(Large Context Windows)：人工智能系统将很快处理更大的上下文窗口，使它们能够处理和记住大量信息，类似于人类的短期记忆。

2、人工智能代理（AIAgent）:这些系统可以自主执行任务，例如学习化学原理并进行测试，这可以大大加快科学研究

3、从文本到行动（Text-To-Action）:人工智能将能够将文本命令转换为行动，这可能会彻底改变任务的自动化和执行方式

经济和地缘政治影响:施密特讨论了人工智能发展所需的大规模金融投资，认为只有少数拥有大量资源和人才的国家才能在人工智能领域领先，并强调美国和中国是主要竞争对手

国家安全:阿尔在国家安全方面发挥着重要作用，美国需要保持其对中国的主导地位。施密特提到了与加拿大等国家建立伙伴关系对水电资源的战略重要性。

战争中的AI:施密特谈论了在战争中使用人工智能和无人机，旨在使传统的地面战斗过时，使入侵变得极其昂贵。

工作伦理与创新:他对创业公司和大公司的工作伦理进行了对比，认为紧张的工作环境对快速创新至关重要。

人工智能和错误信息:施密特对人工智能传播错误信息的可能性，特别是在选举期间，以及在监管社交媒体平台方面的挑战表示关注。

未来的工作:人工智能将对劳动力市场产生重大影响，高技能工作可能会适应和整合人工智能，而低技能工作可能会面临更大的自动化风险。

假设


图片
AI发展速度:施密特认为，人工智能将继续以指数级速度发展，未来一两年将取得重大进展。

经济集中:他认为，人工智能的经济效益将集中在少数几家大公司和有能力在人工智能基础设施方面进行大量投资的国家。

工作伦理:施密特认为，强大的工作伦理和紧张的工作环境对于人工智能开发中的创新和成功是必要的。

地缘政治稳定:他认为，在人工智能发展的背景下，美国和加拿大等地缘政治联盟将保持稳定和合作。

不一致性


图片
工作与生活平衡:施密特批评谷歌对工作与生活平衡的关注是失去竞争优势的原因，但他承认在其他情况下可持续工作实践的重要性。

AI监管:虽然施密特倡导强大的AI开发和投资，但他也强调了防止滥用的监管需要，鉴于对快速、不受限制的创新的推动，这可以被视为矛盾的。

名言集锦



“明年，你将看到非常大的上下文窗口、代理和文本到行动。当它们以规模交付时，将对世界产生影响，这种影响是任何人都没有预料到的。”

“我认为地球上的每个人都有自己的程序员，他们会做他们想做的事。”

“在我看来，前沿的大语言模型(现在只有3款)与其他所有车型之间的差距越来越大。”

“作为一个国家，我们没有足够的权力去做这件事，另一种选择是让阿拉伯人出资。”

"对民主的最大威胁是错误信息，因为我们会非常擅长这个。”

"进攻总是有优势的，因为你总能压倒防守系统。"

“我们团队每周的共识是，你最终会用所谓的对抗性 AI来做这件事，实际上会有一些公司，你会雇用他们，付钱给他们，来破解你的 AI 系统。”


文章链接：谷歌大佬神秘AI预测，视频被全网删除

参考资料：

1、Google CEO Eric Schmidt 施密特 演讲原视频带机翻字幕https://www.bilibili.com/video/BV1TepReUEhY/?spm_id_from=333.337.search-card.all.click&vd_source=585241f468d3a2d3b9c375b74cbb65f8

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